As always - thanks for your excellent work, orwell2024. I often refer to it in my Covid-comments. See my answer to Sonny Rider in the comments here.
I'll post the link to it on the Unz Review Newslinks if you don't mind.
Btw.: Japan seems to look a lot like Sweden and New Zealand with regard to excess deaths 2020/2021.
The same is true according to the Swiss virologist Professor Pietro Vernazza if one is willing to take a statistically correct look at the Swiss numbers. So - Pietro Vernazza opposes the numbers given at the Swiss Policy Research and the government and claims there'd be hardly any excess mortality in Switzerland too during the pandemic.
Here is an article about Pietro Vernazza's take on covid and excess deaths in CH
«Ich bin ein klarer Verfechter der Impfung» (medinside.ch)
Hello Mate, Interesting article. I live in NZ. Ive started looking at our NZ Stats mortality statistics. These are monthly. I can also get the weekly registered death numbers from the NZ MOH as well.
I have a 60+ sheet in the processing spreadsheet. Note: we had a more severe flu season in 2019 which you did not include - Im curious as to why???
Also Im doing comparisons year to year and also just eyeing up the general trend. Whats interesting is that in 2020 and 2021 NZ has basically had no Flu season - as we closed our borders due to the pandemic.
You will see a large decline in mortality in 2020.
Mortality then sharply increases in 2021 - despite we appear to have no flu season and suspiciously seems to occur when we start vaccinating the population.....
No data for Oct to Dec 2021 yet but Ill add when its released (hopefully over the next week)
What are other explanations to account for the increased mortality in over 60s in 2021???
Could it be lack of flu season in 2020 has added say upto a year of life for a number of over 60s??? or is it vaccine related???
Ive also done a number of comparisons looking at each year with the prior year.
I plan to add the weekly vaccine data. In september 2021 mandates started coming into effect so younger cohorts will show big increase in vaccine uptake, which could be reflected in increased deaths as well....
NZ started to vaccinate 5-12 years olds in Jan 2022 so any spike in mortality rates will start showing here as well but this will likely not be available (Jan - Mar mortality rates) until June 2022.....
Excluding 2019 wasn't intentional. Just didn't want to overload the graphs. The 2021 mortality in the elderly groups is seen also in other countries like NL, DE, AT...to my view, this is directly lockdown related. I don't think that it is vaccine as we don't see it in Sweden nor Norway.
So your suggesting deaths of depression and loneliness??? The thing is the lockdowns in NZ where realtively mild. For example we only had a single lockdown in April 2020 - which lasted about 5 weeks. The second full on lockdown only applied to Auckland and lasted about 3 months.....so Id be surprised of this accounted for the large uptick in mortality rate - especially given the absence of a flue season. What do you think????
Thanks for the Rancourt-hint and link, Sonny Rider!
I also linked it at the Unz Review newslinks.
We discussed Roncourts findings here in the comments under this article about economist Tyler Cowen's take on Covid (which changed noticeably over time).
Yes, these soft factors play a most likely: understimated - role when it comes to death. - Now I think of Schubert's "Grave Digger's Homesickness" song. Lyrics by Craigher...Moving - and beautiful - and - - soothing!
Michael Levitt in his talk to The Wall Street Journal's Gerry Bakker on The Free Expression podcast last week (linked on Michael Levitt's Twitter thread) mentions the placebo-effect of the vaccinations as a possible reason for the quite impressive vaccination-success in Hong Kong.
It looks pretty quiet, although there was a peak in 2021 at around July - August. So if this is not Covid nor flu, what is it? It’s exclusively in 65+. It's both males and females. The male peaks are wider.
For those of us who aren't, it's the helps to capture information faster due to the colour contrast. It's a fact. That's why I use it. But let's grief further: Should we stop writing because some people are blind? Shall we stop talking, because some people are deaf? Shall we stop using math, because most people can't understand it or have dyscalculia? The answer is no. I have never met anyone in my entire career complaining about colours. And I have worked with many people. If somebody with a real problem would ask me because personally interested, I would make him the graph. But my response to generic grievance is: no.
You are reading a suggestion from somebody with defective colour vision about your colour choices right now. If you want people to capture information faster due to the colour contrast, it helps to pick colours which people see as contrasting. 8% of all males seems a large enough fraction of the population to want to not exclude, these days when colour selection is so easy. But it is nice to know that your position is 'I don't care' as opposed to 'I didn't know'. More grist for my assertion that a grievance culture has made it impossible for people to deliver criticism without it being perceived as a grievance.
As always - thanks for your excellent work, orwell2024. I often refer to it in my Covid-comments. See my answer to Sonny Rider in the comments here.
I'll post the link to it on the Unz Review Newslinks if you don't mind.
Btw.: Japan seems to look a lot like Sweden and New Zealand with regard to excess deaths 2020/2021.
The same is true according to the Swiss virologist Professor Pietro Vernazza if one is willing to take a statistically correct look at the Swiss numbers. So - Pietro Vernazza opposes the numbers given at the Swiss Policy Research and the government and claims there'd be hardly any excess mortality in Switzerland too during the pandemic.
Here is an article about Pietro Vernazza's take on covid and excess deaths in CH
«Ich bin ein klarer Verfechter der Impfung» (medinside.ch)
Hello Mate, Interesting article. I live in NZ. Ive started looking at our NZ Stats mortality statistics. These are monthly. I can also get the weekly registered death numbers from the NZ MOH as well.
Ive done some basic processing which is here;
https://www.dropbox.com/sh/dihwoik1305ui2d/AACZsHnPp1p6jQ-cgiIzoUV8a?dl=0
I have a 60+ sheet in the processing spreadsheet. Note: we had a more severe flu season in 2019 which you did not include - Im curious as to why???
Also Im doing comparisons year to year and also just eyeing up the general trend. Whats interesting is that in 2020 and 2021 NZ has basically had no Flu season - as we closed our borders due to the pandemic.
You will see a large decline in mortality in 2020.
Mortality then sharply increases in 2021 - despite we appear to have no flu season and suspiciously seems to occur when we start vaccinating the population.....
No data for Oct to Dec 2021 yet but Ill add when its released (hopefully over the next week)
What are other explanations to account for the increased mortality in over 60s in 2021???
Could it be lack of flu season in 2020 has added say upto a year of life for a number of over 60s??? or is it vaccine related???
Ive also done a number of comparisons looking at each year with the prior year.
I plan to add the weekly vaccine data. In september 2021 mandates started coming into effect so younger cohorts will show big increase in vaccine uptake, which could be reflected in increased deaths as well....
NZ started to vaccinate 5-12 years olds in Jan 2022 so any spike in mortality rates will start showing here as well but this will likely not be available (Jan - Mar mortality rates) until June 2022.....
Love to chat, let me know what you think??
email kiwixport@yahoo.com
Excluding 2019 wasn't intentional. Just didn't want to overload the graphs. The 2021 mortality in the elderly groups is seen also in other countries like NL, DE, AT...to my view, this is directly lockdown related. I don't think that it is vaccine as we don't see it in Sweden nor Norway.
So your suggesting deaths of depression and loneliness??? The thing is the lockdowns in NZ where realtively mild. For example we only had a single lockdown in April 2020 - which lasted about 5 weeks. The second full on lockdown only applied to Auckland and lasted about 3 months.....so Id be surprised of this accounted for the large uptick in mortality rate - especially given the absence of a flue season. What do you think????
This may be of interest too. Seems stress, depression cause by the lockdowns is a big factor in some places... https://bit.ly/allcause-clip
Thanks for the Rancourt-hint and link, Sonny Rider!
I also linked it at the Unz Review newslinks.
We discussed Roncourts findings here in the comments under this article about economist Tyler Cowen's take on Covid (which changed noticeably over time).
https://hailtoyou.wordpress.com/2022/05/29/former-corona-panicker-economist-blogger-tyler-cowen-calls-for-covid-laissez-faire-policy/
And here - in the comments under the post Heaven's Already Here
https://www.peakstupidity.com/
I think that Rancourt's is a great expalnation of the existing Covid-excess deats data in the US
As we explain in our disussions linked above, I think he is not wuite right in ihs take on the vaccination-effect though.
Yes, these soft factors play a most likely: understimated - role when it comes to death. - Now I think of Schubert's "Grave Digger's Homesickness" song. Lyrics by Craigher...Moving - and beautiful - and - - soothing!
Michael Levitt in his talk to The Wall Street Journal's Gerry Bakker on The Free Expression podcast last week (linked on Michael Levitt's Twitter thread) mentions the placebo-effect of the vaccinations as a possible reason for the quite impressive vaccination-success in Hong Kong.
It looks pretty quiet, although there was a peak in 2021 at around July - August. So if this is not Covid nor flu, what is it? It’s exclusively in 65+. It's both males and females. The male peaks are wider.
Excellent article
great analysis, ty.
Since green-red colour-blindness is the most common sort, it is better to not use green and red when graphing anything.
For those of us who aren't, it's the helps to capture information faster due to the colour contrast. It's a fact. That's why I use it. But let's grief further: Should we stop writing because some people are blind? Shall we stop talking, because some people are deaf? Shall we stop using math, because most people can't understand it or have dyscalculia? The answer is no. I have never met anyone in my entire career complaining about colours. And I have worked with many people. If somebody with a real problem would ask me because personally interested, I would make him the graph. But my response to generic grievance is: no.
You are reading a suggestion from somebody with defective colour vision about your colour choices right now. If you want people to capture information faster due to the colour contrast, it helps to pick colours which people see as contrasting. 8% of all males seems a large enough fraction of the population to want to not exclude, these days when colour selection is so easy. But it is nice to know that your position is 'I don't care' as opposed to 'I didn't know'. More grist for my assertion that a grievance culture has made it impossible for people to deliver criticism without it being perceived as a grievance.